Intrade has constructed the Intrade World Crisis Index.
Our admittedly unsophisticated sentiment index priced initially at 50.0 on
January 27th 2009 at the official opening of the 2009 Davos
World Economic Forum is comprised of eight equally weighted markets that
measure the likelihood of recessions, depressions, increased unemployment,
lower stock markets, and greater international tensions.
A higher index means our markets predict a more disastrous 2009 than before.
A lower post-meeting index means our markets predict the probability that
2009 will be a disaster will be lower than previously thought.
