New Prediction Market: US State Government Default

Thursday, Nov 12, 2009

Lower tax revenue, high unemployment and increasing debt repayments are putting several US states under heavy financial pressure.

The hardest hit is California which is on the brink of insolvency, but a recent study identified nine other states suffering similar problems. With unemployment expected to remain high and federal stimulus money drying up next year, these problems are likely to continue.

Could a state government reach the point where it cannot meet it's financial obligations? Intrade yesterday listed markets on New York, New Jersey and California experiencing a "credit event" in relation to their bond issues, such as bankruptcy, default or failure to pay.

These markets can be found under Financial -- US State Gov Default.

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