New Prediction Market: Will Roman Polanski be extradited?

Monday, Oct 5, 2009

Intrade has opened a market on whether or not Roman Polanski be extradited to the United States.

This market can be found under Legal -- Roman Polanski.

Contract Rules:

This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if Roman Polanski is extradited to the United States before midnight ET on the date specified in the contract.
 
This contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) if Roman Polanski is not extradited to the United States before midnight ET on the date specified in the contract.
 
Expiry will be based official statements from US law enforcement authorities confirming the extradition has been completed, as reported by three independent and reliable media sources.
 
The contract will not be expired at 100 until the extradition has been completed and Roman Polanski has arrived in the United States.
 
Any extradition can be forced or voluntary.

Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.7 Unforeseen Circumstances.

The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate.

Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4

Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.