Intrade Exchange News

ABC 20/20 featuring Intrade. May 9th, 10PM

Intrade — Fri, 09 May 2008 04:55:51 GMT

ABC 20/20 are doing a story featuring Intrade on May 9th at 10PM EST.

2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Intrade — Tue, 06 May 2008 03:28:27 GMT

The Exchange has listed two markets for the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which runs from June 1st 2008 until November 30th 2008. One market is for the last named storm of the 2008 season and the other for which US states a Category 3 (or higher) storm will make first landfall. Please read the contract rules for each market very carefully and if you have any questions please contact us at help@intrade.com before you make a trade.

CFTC Requests Comment on Possible Regulation of Prediction Markets

Intrade — Mon, 05 May 2008 04:01:26 GMT

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is asking for comments on the appropriate regulatory treatment of Prediction Markets. Intrade is very pleased that the CFTC is asking for comments on the appropriate regulatory treatment of prediction markets, also known as event contracts or information markets. We believe this request by the CFTC is yet another clear and significant indication of the growing importance of prediction markets, the information they aggregate and the utility of that information. Intrade, as the leading Prediction Market, will be making comment in due course. We have also called on the members of the Prediction Market Industry Association and are calling all those interested in Prediction Markets to make comment within 60 days. Thank you in advance for your attention to this important matter. John Delaney CEO Intrade Link to the CFTC Press Release
Link to the CFTC Concept Release which references Intrade

The Political Prediction Markets by Intrade. Issue #41 Published

Intrade — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 12:29:53 GMT

Intrade has just released Issue #41 of The Political Prediction Markets bulletin. In Issue #41: Obama under pressure from McCain and Clinton following loss in Pennsylvania and comments by former preacher. It highlights the week?s biggest winners, biggest losers and most actively traded markets. In a world of data overload we aim to deliver succinct, accurate information to keep you up-to-date. Issue #41 is available here: http://www.intrade.com/Market_Moves/20080430/newsletter.html

IMPORTANT RULE CHANGE: Politics

Intrade — Tue, 29 Apr 2008 01:27:51 GMT

The Exchange has updated the contracts rules that cover the death of a political candidate. Prior to this change any contract listed for a candidate that died would have been declared void, all trades made reversed and all trading fees reversed. Enforcing this rule would have reversed any trading profits accrued by members prior to the death of the candidate, which would have left both members and the Exchange exposed. Under the new rules, in the event of the death of one of the candidates the following steps will be taken: 1. All contracts in the group will be paused and expired at the last closing price set for each contract 2. A new market will be listed for the remaining candidates This rules update applies to the following contract groups: Republican Presidential Nominee Republican Vice-Presidential Nominee Democratic Presidential Nominee Democratic Vice-Presidential Nominee Presidential Election Winner (Individual) Presidential Election Combinations If you have any questions or comment on this please contact the Exchange at help@intrade.com.

The Intrade New Platform Contest

Intrade — Fri, 18 Apr 2008 12:34:11 GMT

The Intrade team has been working on a new prediction market platform with better usability, navigation, transparency and design. We are progressing well, and hope to have an alpha version live in a couple of weeks but we would love your input ASAP. Specifically, we need a superb and fresh logo and "look and feel" but lots more besides. Since you create the predictive content and interest in Intrade we would love your help in creating our new platform. To get things going, I would like to announce the Intrade Logo/Design Theme Contest for the most creative, clean and fresh logo, design theme or other idea. So Whats The Prize? The winner gets the wonderful Nintendo Wii and if we use the winners' submission, the persons name will be featured on the bottom of our new platform for 1 year. As we get a lot of high quality traffic that equals lots and lots cool of exposure for the winner...

IMPORTANT: Financial Contracts Rule Change

Intrade — Wed, 16 Apr 2008 07:10:27 GMT

As of Monday, April 21st we will no longer be using Bloomberg as the source of expiry information for our daily financial contracts. We will instead be using data provided by Interactive Data Corporation, using the eSignal application. Full details of this application can be found here: http://www.esignal.com/company/default.asp Please contact the Exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this.

New Market: Amendment to UIGEA

Intrade — Mon, 14 Apr 2008 11:49:42 GMT

We have listed a contract on an amendment to the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act being passed before the end of 2010, and that Rep. Barney Frank will be a sponser of the bill. This contract can be found under Legal -- Internet Gaming. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

New Market: Endorsements for President

Intrade — Fri, 11 Apr 2008 08:58:25 GMT

We have opened markets on who Al Gore, Michael Bloomberg, Chuck Hagel, John Edwards, Joe Biden and Colin Powell will endorse for President in 2008. These contracts can be found under Politics - Pres. Endorsements. Please read the contract rules carefully and contact us on help@intrade.com if you have any questions before you make a trade.

IMPORTANT: Check Deposits

Intrade — Thu, 03 Apr 2008 02:32:33 GMT

As of Tuesday, March 26th 2008, the Exchange will no longer be pre-clearing check deposits. All check deposits received after this date will be subject to the full ten-business day clearance policy enforced by our bank. This is regardless of your previous deposit record or if we have pre-cleared checks for you in the past. The funds must now be fully cleared by our bank before being made available for trading. This applies to personal checks, cashiers checks and all money orders. We suggest that if you need funds in your account quickly then you send a bank wire transfer, which typically takes 2-4 banking days to complete. Please contact the Exchange if you have any questions regarding this.

Intrade Margin Rate Changes

Intrade — Tue, 25 Mar 2008 01:34:43 GMT

Here is a schedule of upcoming margin rate changes. These rate changes will only affect members who are permitted to trade on margin. Please check your account for details of your positions and funds.

Mad Cow Disease (BSE) in the US and UK

Intrade — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 06:57:03 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on Mad Cow Disease (BSE) being detected in the United States and the United Kingdom. These contracts can be found under Current Events -- Mad Cow Disease. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Boycott of Olympic Games

Intrade — Wed, 26 Mar 2008 03:45:56 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on an official announcement of a boycott of the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing by the United States or any member of the European Union. These contracts can be found under Current Events -- Olympic Games. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Average Global Temperature for 2008

Intrade — Thu, 13 Mar 2008 07:32:43 GMT

The Exchange has listed a contract on the Global Average Temperature for 2008 being among the top five warmest years on record. This contract can be found under Climate and Weather - Global Global Temperatures. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Eliot Spitzer to be Indicted on Felony Charges

Intrade — Thu, 13 Mar 2008 03:45:37 GMT

We have listed a contract on Eliot Spitzer being indicted on felony charges. This can be found under Legal -- Eliot Spitzer. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Most Superdelegates - Clinton or Obama?

Intrade — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 06:04:34 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on who will receive the most Democratic Party Superdelegates in 2008. These contracts can be found under Politics -- Dem. Pres. Primaries -- Most Superdelegates - Clinton or Obama? Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Venezuela or Ecuador to declare war on Colombia

Intrade — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 06:05:51 GMT

The Exchange has listed a series of contracts on either Venezuela or Ecuador formally declaring war on Colombia. These contracts can be found under Current Events -- South America -- Venezuela or Ecuador to declare war on Colombia. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Will new Democratic primaries be held in Michigan or Florida?

Intrade — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 06:00:44 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on the possibility of new Democratic primaries being held in Michigan or Florida. These contracts can be found under Politics -- Dem. Pres. Primaries -- Will Michigan or Florida hold new Primaries? Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade

9.0 Scale Earthquake in 2008

Intrade — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 05:44:07 GMT

The Exchange has listed a market on an earthquake of at least 9.0 on the Richter Scale ocurring anywhere in the world in 2008. This contract is listed under Current Events -- Earthquakes. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Intrade Google Widget Gadget

Intrade — Tue, 26 Feb 2008 10:17:09 GMT

Intrade Google Widget Gadget Displays Intrade's most active most active daily markets. http://www.google.ie/ig/directory?hl=en&url=www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/home/ghp/quoteboard.xml Please let us know if you would like a customizable widget / gadget to press AT intrade . com

2009 Indian General Election

Intrade — Mon, 25 Feb 2008 11:57:38 GMT

The Exchange has listed two groups of contracts for the next Indian general election, scheduled for 2009. These contracts can be found under Politics -- Indian Politics. We have contracts listed for the party that is the head of the Indian government after the election, and the for the Prime Minister. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Intrade Exchange Upgrade

Intrade — Thu, 07 Feb 2008 11:41:08 GMT

We have just released a significant upgrade of our exchange trading and trade notification system. This upgrade delivers much faster* trade execution and notifications. Active traders in fast moving markets should notice a significant reduction in order processing and notification times. * from 2 to 10 times faster.

Intrade is looking for New Market Ideas!

Intrade — Fri, 25 Jan 2008 11:53:39 GMT

Intrade is looking for New Market Ideas! What uncertain event are you interested in trading? What uncertain event are you interested in getting predictive information on from the Intrade community? Please let us know by mailing markets@intrade.com. ...

Politimetrics from the University of Westminster

Intrade — Tue, 22 Jan 2008 06:23:01 GMT

On Behalf of the University of Westminster Intrade would like to inform you of Politimetrics "Polymetrics ---------------------- What candidate would have the highest probability to win the presidential election if nominated? What candidate has the program which is more likely to foster growth, reduce unemployment and crime? -------------------------------------- All these crucial questions for the voters in this 2008 US election cannot be answered using traditional polls. Using prediction markets in a innovative way, the website www.politimetrics.com proposes the answers to these questions. www.politimetrics.com presents the estimation of the the conditional probability of success of each candidate if nominated/elected. The numbers are estimated live, directly from the prices on specific Intrade contracts. For the traders on www.intrade.com, this innovation has two interests. First it provides additional information to help traders to seize opportunities in the mispricing of some contracts. The information provided by www.politimetrics.com can reveal that some contracts are over or under priced. Any such situation creates positive expected gains for those correcting these prices. Second, it also provides additional interest for the trade because of the information built from these markets. We would appreciate if Intrade traders would look at our website and at the markets listed in the section "Impact of next president". As a result of the trade on these markets, we will build the same kind of graphics depicted on www.politimetrics.com, to answer the following kind of questions: - Is Hilary Clinton more likely to be effective in managing the economy than John McCain? - Is Rudy Giuliani more likely to decrease crime than Barack Obama? We really hope that Intrade traders will enjoy the creation of this website and this initiative. We appreciate your feedback here in this Forum."

US Unemployment Rate

Intrade — Mon, 14 Jan 2008 11:23:52 GMT

The Exchange has listed a series of contracts on the unemployment rate in the United States at the end of 2008. These contracts can be found under Financial -- Economic Numbers -- US Unemployment Rate. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Israeli-Palestinian Peace Treaty

Intrade — Thu, 10 Jan 2008 04:41:40 GMT

The Exchange has listed a contract on a peace treaty between Israel and the Palestinians being signed before the end of President George W. Bush's term in office. This contract can be under Current Events -- Middle East -- Israeli - Palestinian Peace Treaty.

Who will be Best President? Presidential Decision Markets

Intrade — Fri, 04 Jan 2008 04:41:37 GMT

The Exchange has now listed a series of contracts on how a Democratic versus Republican U.S. President will differently effect oil prices, long term interest rates, US government debt, and US troops in Iraq. The contracts now live on the Exchange under Politics -- US Pres. Decisions. These contracts do differ from our standard 0-100 contracts so please be sure to read the contract rules very carefully.

WSJ Market powered by Intrade

Intrade — Fri, 28 Dec 2007 02:10:24 GMT

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ.com) launch WSJ Political Market powered by Intrade We are pleased to advise you that The Wall Street Journal has launched ?The WSJ Political Market" powered by Intrade. The WSJ Political Market is an exchange marketplace, like a stock market, except the "stocks" traded are political candidates and the currency you'll use is fantasy. Users can trade contracts that are tied to the outcome of future political events, from individual state primaries to the general election. Each participant is given ten thousand fictional WSJ dollars (WSJ$10,000) upon registration.

Brokered Party Conventions in 2008

Intrade — Wed, 19 Dec 2007 05:16:23 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on the possibility of the Republican and Democatic party conventions in 2008 being "brokered". These contracts can be found under Politics -- 2008 US Election -- Brokered Party Conventions in 2008. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Yahoo! Now Incorporating Intrade Prediction Market Prices in It's Political Dashboard

Intrade — Wed, 19 Dec 2007 06:10:31 GMT

Yahoo! Now Incorporating Intrade Prediction Market Prices in It's Political Dashboard Yahoo! has just released a Political Dashboard for those interested in the 2008 race to the White House incorporating Intrade prediction market data. http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard In addition to Intrade data, the Yahoo! dashboard includes the latest polls, how much money each candidate has raised and also shows the relative popularity of candidates based on Yahoo search queries form Y! buzz. Poll numbers are based on aggregated polling averages from Real Clear Politics. Fund-raising totals are tracked quarterly, while the other categories including Intrade pieces are updated daily. The dashboard also includes indicator arrows for each category showing whether a candidate's support is trending up or down. In addition to national data, the dashboard also provides state-by-state information via a U.S. map that lets users click on a given state to find information. For additional information on using Intrade Prediction Market data please contact press-AT-Intrade.com.

Intrade daily charts

Intrade — Wed, 12 Dec 2007 05:44:05 GMT

We are pleased to let you know that we are now producing daily "roll-up" charts.

Number of Democratic Seats in Congress after 2008 Elections

Intrade — Thu, 29 Nov 2007 03:05:15 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts for how many seats the Democrats will hold in the US Senate and House of Representatives after the 2008 Congressional Elections. These contracts can be found under: Politics -- 2008 US Election -- Number of Democratic Seats in Senate after 2008 Election Politics -- 2008 US Election -- Number of Democratic Seats in House of Representatives after 2008 Election

O.J Simpson - Las Vegas Robbery Case

Intrade — Thu, 15 Nov 2007 05:19:13 GMT

The Exchange has listed a contract on the outcome of the OJ Simpson Las Vegas Robbery trial. This contract can be found under Legal -- O.J Simpson -- Las Vegas Robbery Case Outcome.

The Journal of Prediction Markets - Gift Subscriptions

Intrade — Fri, 28 Sep 2007 04:08:16 GMT

The Journal of Prediction Markets - Gift Subscriptions The Journal of Prediction Markets is an academic peer reviewed journal publishing articles both commissioned and submitted, survey articles, case studies and book reviews. The Journal is a general journal publishing articles on every aspect of the study of Prediction Markets. The Journal is aimed at academics and students of business, markets, finance, economics and the social sciences, and all those with an interest in the operation of markets and market efficiency more generally. It is planned that the journal will be abstracted in the Social Science Citation Index and with Econlit. To register interest in the journal or a subscription or to receive further information about the publication please email your details to Sales For additional information on the journal and gift subscriptions see the link below http://groups.google.com/group/Prediction-Markets/browse_thread/thread/28d41f794bb86ea9

National Leader Departure Markets: Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, Zimbabwe, Ireland, Venezuela

Intrade — Thu, 08 Nov 2007 02:01:46 GMT

The Exchange has listed a number of contracts on the departure of various national leaders from their current positions. These can be found under Current Events -- National Leaders. We have contracts listed on: * Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (Iran) * Pervez Musharraf (Pakistan) * Robert Mugabe (Zimbabwe) * Bertie Ahern (Republic of Ireland) * Nouri al-Maliki (Iraq) * Hugo Chavez (Venezuela) Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

RealClearPolitics.com launches 'Fantasy '08' political market with Intrade

Intrade — Fri, 21 Sep 2007 12:02:27 GMT

REALCLEARPOLITICS.com LAUNCHES 'FANTASY '08' POLITICAL STOCK MARKET POWERED BY INTRADE CHICAGO, IL, September 21st - RealClearPolitics, one of the leading independent political information sites on the Internet, and Intrade, the world's leading prediction market, announced today the launch of Fantasy '08 - an interactive trading market focused on the 2008 U.S. elections. Fantasy '08 is now available at: http://fantasy08.realclearpolitics.com/aav2/menu.jsp. Full details on how to sign up and begin trading, as well as leaderboards to track your progress can be found on the web site.

National Journal and Intrade Partnership

Intrade — Tue, 18 Sep 2007 09:15:24 GMT

NATIONAL JOURNAL GROUP ANNOUNCES LAUNCH OF NATIONAL JOURNAL POLITICAL STOCK EXCHANGE POWERED BY INTRADE WASHINGTON ? National Journal Group, Washington?s leading publisher of political and policy news and analysis, announced today the launch of the National Journal Political Stock Exchange (NJPSE), a fantasy political stock market located on NationalJournal.com that will allow players to put their political knowledge to the test by predicting specific outcomes related to a wide range of political events, including all angles of the highly contested 2008 presidential campaign. The new feature is powered by Intrade, the leading prediction market provider, through a partnership announced earlier this summer.

Intrade - New Forum

Intrade — Tue, 04 Sep 2007 01:32:46 GMT

We have just deployed a new Forum. Advantages include? The new forum is dedicated to intrade - There is a single sign on - once you login to your Intrade account there will be no need to login again to a separate forum - Integration ? the forum is fully integrated into the Intrade webpage so there is no need to open another window to view the forum message - A ?New Message? notification (going live on 09/05) on the Forum tab to make sure you are aware of new messages since your last visit - The ability add forum threads / content to your RSS feed aggregator. Other changes: - Users must register a ?screen name? that should not be the same as their Intrade Username for security reasons. This screen name will be visible to other members. If there are additional community features you would like to se please let us know on press@intrade.com

PM's, Clinton, Prof's Strumpf & Wolfers in Pensions & Inv.

Intrade — Wed, 18 Jul 2007 03:48:24 GMT

Prediction Markets, Prof. Wolfers, Prof. Strumf and Intrade featured in Pensions & Investments. Predictive market bets have Clinton at 32.8% to win presidency; Obama, 18.3%. By Jay Cooper, Pensions & Investments

Ned Davis Research Syndicates Intrade Market Data

Intrade — Thu, 21 Jun 2007 07:30:39 GMT

Ned Davis Research (NDR) and Intrade are pleased to announce having reached an exciting new agreement where NDR will syndicate Intrade?s renowned market data.

Member-to-Member Transfers

Intrade — Thu, 21 Jun 2007 02:44:27 GMT

The Exchange is pleased to announce the launch of a new Member-to-Member funds transfer system. This allows you to transfer funds from your account to the account of another member of the Exchange quickly, easily and free of charge. To request a transfer please visit your My Account page and complete the online form found under the Transfers heading. If you have questions about then please contact us at help@intrade.com. Member-to-Member Transfer FAQ?S: How do I complete a Member-to-Member transfer? Just complete the online form found under the Transfers heading on your My Account page. Our Exchange staff will then process the transfer for you. Is the transfer instantaneous? No. Exchange staff will review all transfer requests before they are authorised and processed. A transfer will typically be completed within 30 minutes, but may take up to 24-hours in some cases. How will I know when the transfer has been completed? You will receive an email to confirm the transfer has been completed. You will also receive an email if there are any problems or if the transfer is refused for any reason. What is the maximum amount I can transfer? The maximum transfer amount is $500.00 per transfer. What is the minimum amount I can transfer? The minimum transfer amount is $25.00 per transfer. Is there a limit on the number of transfers I can make? No. You can request as many transfers as you like. Please note however that our Exchange staff carefully review all transfers and a large number of transfers to, or from, the same account will be investigated. Are there any fees for making a transfer? No. It is completely free to make a Member-to-Member transfer. Can I cancel a transfer after it has been processed? No. Once your account has been debited the transfer cannot be cancelled or reversed. The member who received the funds will need to transfer them back by requesting a new Member-to-Member transfer. TERMS AND CONDITIONS: 1. The requested transfer will typically be processed within 30 minutes but can take up to 24 hours 2. You must have sufficient available funds in your trading account to cover the transfer 3. The recipient of the transfer must be a member of the Exchange 4. All transfers are subject to review before processing will be authorised at the sole discretion of the Exchange 5. Any credit card deposits must be verified before a transfer can made from your account 6. Funds from a pre-cleared check cannot be transferred until our bank has cleared the check

Michael Bloomberg to run as an Independent

Intrade — Tue, 22 May 2007 03:36:24 GMT

The Exchange has listed a contract on Michael Bloomberg (Mayor of New York) announcing his intention to seek the Presidency of the United States in 2008 as an independent candidate. This contract can be found under Politics -- 2008 US Election -- Michael Bloomberg to run as Independent. This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if Michael Bloomberg (Mayor of New York) announces his intention to run for President of the United States in 2008 as an Independent candidate. The contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) if he does not make such an announcement. Expiry will be based on official and public announcements made by Michael Bloomberg and as reported in three independent and reliable media sources. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4 Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

2016 Summer Olympics

Intrade — Wed, 18 Apr 2007 02:47:15 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on which region of the world will play host to the 2016 Summer Olympic Games. These contracts can be found under Current Events -- Olympic Games. A further group of contracts on which particular city will host the games will be listed in September when official applications close for potential hosts. The contract rules are as follows: A contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if a venue located in the region specified in the contract is selected as host of the 2016 Olympic Games. A contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) if the venue selected as host of the 2016 Olympic Games is not located in the region specified in the contract. Expiry will be based on the official announcement of the host due to be made by the International Olympic Committee on 2nd October, 2009. For expiry purposes India, Turkey and Middle Eastern countries (excluding those in Africa) will be considered part of Asia, and central American countries are considered part of South America. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4 Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Financial Times New Service and $25,000 Prediction-Market Contest Invests in Future Outcomes

Intrade — Thu, 05 Apr 2007 07:21:53 GMT

Financial Times New Service and $25,000 Prediction-Market Contest Invests in ?Future? Outcomes. New York, April 3, 2007: Today the Financial Times launches an innovative service called FTPredict (www.FTPredict.com). FTPredict is a platform where participants buy and sell ?shares? in uncertain future geopolitical, financial and other important events and in so doing predict the chance of the event occurring. FTPredict is powered by Intrade, The Prediction Market?. While FTPredict uses play money (participants are awarded FT$10,000 upon joining which they trade at their discretion), the winner?s prize is very real. The individual with the greatest one-week percentage gain between April 2 and July 3, 2007 wins the grand prize - a global vacation worth over US$25,000. Each week, players have a chance to top their own or another?s previous best week; the Leaderboard tells the tale. ?FTPredict is a fantasy stock league for people who care about elections, finance, business and geopolitics,? said Robin Johnson, President of the FT in the Americas. ?Prediction markets are powerful tools. They give you a handle on the future as the current price equals the probability the event will take place at that moment in time. This kind of succinct index is red meat for people who read the FT. And analysis is what we?re all about. We think it?s going to be a great fit and a whole lot of fun. FTPredict really blurs the line between work and play.? Ien Cheng, global head of FT.com, added, ?our aim is to extend FTPredict so the exchange is used by the widest possible audience. We?re also eager to give our audience the power to integrate this innovative data along with the other qualitative and quantitative tools that enhance what we already do, which is provide insight.? ?We have been working with Intrade for almost a year on FTPredict and we are all very excited to be finally launching it publicly today? said Will Speck Director of Research & Business Development ? Americas. John Delaney, CEO of www.intrade.com added ?We are thrilled that by working with the Financial Times, thousands more people will be exposed to the marvelous insights and excitement that prediction markets offer. A global business information leader like The Financial Times embracing prediction markets is significant further validation for our industry and of course Intrade.? Visit www.FTPredict.com and register to begin trading the news. About the Financial Times Financial Times is one of the world's leading business information brands, internationally recognized for its authoritative news, comment and analysis. Whether in print or online, the Financial Times is essential reading for the global business community. Printed at 23 sites worldwide, the Financial Times newspaper has a daily circulation of over 447,000 and a readership of more than 1.4 million people worldwide. FT.com (http://www.ft.com) is one of the world's leading business information portals, and the Internet partner of the Financial Times. FT.com has over 5 million unique monthly users that generate more than 41 million monthly page views. For more information on the Financial Times or FTPredict, please contact: Courtney Dolan Head of Public Relations Financial Times 212-641-6360 or courtney.dolan@ft.com About Intrade, The Prediction Market? Intrade is the world?s leading prediction market where members can buy and sell "shares" in uncertain financial, political, weather and other important subjects. By trading on these events members generate probability information as to the likelihood of the event occurring. Probability information from a market like Intrade has routinely been more accurate than anyt other source available. Becoming a member of Intrade gives you an exciting opportunity to help predict the future and access to the succinct wisdom of many thousands of people from over 120 countries. For more information on Intrade, The Prediction Market? or FTPredict, please contact: John Delaney Chief Executive Officer Intrade.com + 353 1 6200 300 or john.delaney@intrade.com

George W. Bush Impeachment Contracts

Intrade — Thu, 22 Mar 2007 03:19:21 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on President George W. Bush being impeached by the US House of Representatives. These can be found under Current Events ? White House. The contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if President George W. Bush is impeached by the United States House of Representatives before the end of his term as President. The contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) is there is no impeachment before the end of his term as President. Expiry will be based on official announcements from Congress and as reported by three independent and reliable media sources. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4 Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Scooter Libby Pardon Contract

Intrade — Thu, 08 Mar 2007 02:54:44 GMT

The Exchange has listed the following event markets related to Scooter Libby being pardoned: ELIBBY.DEC07.PARDON This contract will expire at 100 if I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby is pardoned by the President of the United States of at least one conviction by 11:59:59pm ET on Decembers 31st 2007. The contract will expire at 0 if I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby is NOT pardoned by the President of the United States of at least one conviction by 11:59:59pm ET on Decembers 31st 2007. LIBBY.EOT.PARDON This contract will expire at 100 if I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby is pardoned of at least one conviction by the end of President Bush's term in office. The contract will expire at 0 if I. Lewis (Scooter) Libby is NOT pardoned of at least one conviction by the end of President Bush's term in office. Expiry will be based on official and pubic announcements from the White House, and as reported in three independent and reliable media sources. Any change to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate.

Chinese Military Action Against Taiwan

Intrade — Wed, 21 Mar 2007 12:44:30 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on China taking military action against Taiwan. These contracts can be found under Current Events -- Taiwan A contract will close (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if China conducts overt military action against Taiwan, either within or outside of Taiwanese territory, before the end of the day (ET) specified in the contract. The contract will expire at 0 ($0.00) if no overt military action is taken. Any action must be officially and publicly announced by an official or agency of an interested government (including, but not limited to, China, Taiwan, Japan, United States) and reported in three independent and reliable media sources before the contract will be expired at 100. Overt military action is defined as any military attack on Taiwanese military or civilian targets or infrastructure by Chinese naval, air or ground forces. This includes any defensive or retaliatory actions. Covert action taken by Chinese military or intelligence agencies that is not officially and publicly announced by an agency or official of a government and reported in three independent and reliable media sources will not be considered for expiry purposes. Any military blockade undertaken by China against Taiwan or any inspection of Taiwanese vessels conducted by the Chinese military will not be considered an overt military action. In the event of an action being launched before midnight on the expiration date, but not executed until after midnight that contract will be expired at 0 as actual military engagement must take place in order for an overt military action to have occurred. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule 1.4 Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Intrade Hours of Operation and Member Support Hours

Intrade — Wed, 28 Feb 2007 04:35:47 GMT

From 1st March 2007 the Intrade Hours of Operation and Member Support Hours are as follows: 1.The Intrade exchange will be open seven days per week, and shall close daily for normally 1 hour from 2:00am ET (7:00am GMT) to 3:00am (8:00am GMT). 2.e-mail support to help@intrade.com is provided twenty four hours per day, seven days per week. Our member response target is to reply in the first instance within 60 minutes of receipt. 3.Live Chat support is also normally provided twenty four hours per day, seven days per week but there will be times when Live Chat will not be available. Our member response target in the first instance is within 15 minutes of a new chat session commencing. 4.Telephone support shall be provided Monday to Friday between 8:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Intrade Google Gadget Live

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:50:09 GMT

Intrade Google Gadget Live Intrade has just published its beta Google Gadgets here. The Intrade Gadget will run on multiple Google products, including your Personalized Homepage, and Desktop. Our beta Gadget includes the most active contracts of the day. You can add the Intrade Gadget by going to www.intrade.com and clicking on the Google link on the bottom right of the screen. Alternatively, click on this link: http://www.google.com/ig/add?moduleurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.intrade.com%2Fjsp%2Fintrade%2Fhome%2Fghp%2Fquoteboard.xml

Contract on US Economy going into Recession

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:52:44 GMT

The Exchange has listed a contract on the United States economy going into recession during 2007. This contract can be found under Financial -- Economic Numbers -- US Economy in Recession. This contract will expire at 100 if the United States economy goes into recession during 2007. The contract will expire at 0 if it does not. For expiry purposes a recession is defined as two successive quarters of negative real economic growth. Expiry will be based on figures released by the United States Department of Commerce and reported in three independent and reliable media sources. The contract will be expired once the 2007 fourth-quarter figures are released (may not be until 2008). If however the 2007 third-quarter figures show positive growth the contract will be expired at 0. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account -Exchange Rule 1.4. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Please contact the exchange if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade

2008 US Presidential Elections - State-by-State contracts

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:51:42 GMT

Contracts have now been listed on who will win the Electoral College votes for each State in the 2008 United States Presidential Election. These contracts can be found under Politics -- 08 Elections By State.

US Elections 2008 - Vice-Presidential Nominee Contracts

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:50:56 GMT

The Exchange has now listed contracts on who will be the Vice-Presidential nominees for the Democrats and Republicans to contest the 2008 Presidential elections. These can be found under Politics -- US 08 Elections -- 2008 Democratic/Republican Vice-Pres Nominee.

2008 Control of Congress Contracts

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:48:11 GMT

The Exchange has now listed contracts on who will control the US Congress after the 2008 Elections. These contracts can be found under Politics -- US 08 Elections. SENATE CONTROL: A contract will expire at 100 if the party named in the contract controls the United States Senate after the 2008 Congressional elections. A contract will expire at 0 if the named party does not control the Senate. A party will control the Senate if they: 1. Hold 51 (or more) Senate seats 2. Hold 50 Senate seats and has the Senate vote of the Vice President of the United States in his or her role as President of the Senate. For expiry purposes any Senate seat held by an Independent who caucuses or votes with the Democrats will be considered Independent and NOT a Democratic seat. The same rule applies to any Independent who caucuses or votes with the Republicans. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade. HOUSE CONTROL: A contract will expire at 100 if party named in the contract controls the United States House of Representatives after the 2008 Congressional elections. A contract will expire at 0 if the party named in the contract do not control the House of Representatives. A party will control the House of Representatives if they hold 218 (or more) seats. For expiry purposes any House seat held by an Independent who caucuses or votes with the Democrats will be considered Independent and NOT a Democratic seat. The same rule applies to any Independent who caucuses or votes with the Republicans. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

North Korea Contracts

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:46:51 GMT

US MILITARY ACTION AGAINST NORTH KOREA Contracts based on the possibility of US military action against North Korea are now open on the Exchange under Current Events --- North Korea. The contract will expire at 100 if the United States conducts an overt military action against North Korea, either within or outside of North Korean territory, on or before 11:59:59pm ET on or before the date specified in the contract. The contract will expire at 0 if no overt military action is taken. Any action must be officially and publicly announced by an official or agency of the United States government and reported in three independent and reputable media sources before the contract will be expired at 100. Overt military action is defined as any military attack on North Korean military or civilian targets or infrastructure by United States naval, air or ground forces. This includes any defensive or retaliatory actions. Covert action taken by US military or intelligence agencies that is not officially and publicly announced by an agency or official of the United States government and reported in three independent and reputable media sources will not be considered for expiry purposes. Any military blockade undertaken by the United States against North Korea or any inspection of North Korean vessels conducted by the United States military will not be considered an overt military action. If US forces are involved in a joint overt military action with armed forces from other countries the contract will expire at 100. In the event of an action commencing before midnight on the expiration date, but not executed until after midnight that contract will be expired at 0 as actual military engagement must take place in order for an overt military action to have occurred. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Presidential Job Approval Rating Contracts

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:45:40 GMT

Presidential Job Approval Rating Contracts The Exchange has listed contracts on President Bush's Job Approval Rating. These can be found under Politics -- US Politics. A contract will expire at 100 if the published job approval rating is on or above that specified in the contract. If not the contract will expire at 0. These contracts will be expired based on President Bush's job approval rating figure as published on Real Clear Politics (Click Here) at 11:59:59pm ET on the date sepcified in the contract. The RCP Average - Approve figure published on this site will be used for expiry purposes. If George W. Bush ceases to be President of the United States before expiry then all contracts will become void, all trades unwound and all trading fees refunded. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 - Unforeseen Circumstances. Please contact us with any queries by emailing help@intrade.com

Iran - Air Strike

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:45:03 GMT

The Exchange has listed contracts on the USA and/or Israel launching an overt air strike against Iran on or before the time/date specified in the contract. The contract(s) can be found under: Current Events> Iran > Israeli/ US Overt Air Strike against Iran. The contract(s) will be expired at 100 if (including but not limited to): The USA and/or Israel officially execute an overt Air Strike against land facilities or naval target in Iran on or before 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract. The contract(s) will be expired at 0 if (including but not limited to): There is no such overt air strike executed against land facilities or naval target in Iran, on or before 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract. An overt air strike against a land facility or naval target is defined as an air attack officially announced by the Pentagon/ the US Department of Defence or the Israel Ministry of Defense*. Clarification added August 18, 2006: *, or as independently reported in 3 reputable media sources such as Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Bloomberg or similar. Land facilities and naval targets include military and/or civilian targets. An air strike will be considered to have taken place even if the stated target is not hit, or the mission objective is not achieved. For the avoidance of doubt an air strike does not include ground-based or marine-based (ship or submarine) missile launches. An overt air strike will not include any covert operations (e.g. Mossad, CIA), accidental border clash, etc. For a definition of an air strike the exchange will use the military definition as published in Department of Defense Dictionary of Military and Associated Terms: Air strike: An attack on specific objectives by fighter, bomber, or attack aircraft on an offensive mission. May consist of several air organizations under a single command in the air. In the event of an air strike being launched before midnight on the expiration date, but not executed until after midnight that contract will be expired at 0 as the ordinance must have been hit in order for the air strike to have occurred. Clarification Added November 10,2005 If NATO/UN execute an air strike against Iran (within the specified time/date) and there are American and/or Israeli forces involved in this strike the contract will expire at 100. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account -Exchange Rule 1.4 Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

2008 Presidential Election Combinations

Intrade — Tue, 27 Mar 2007 10:00:15 GMT

The Exchange has now listed a series of combination contracts for the 2008 U.S Presidential Elections. These contracts will be expired based on who contests the election from each party. For example, will be Clinton versus McCain, Obama versus Giuliani or Edwards versus Romney? These contracts can be found under Politics -- US 08 Elections -- 2008 Presidential Election Combinations. A contract will expire at 100 if BOTH persons named in the contract contest the 2008 Presidential elections as the nominees for their respective parties. A contract will expire at 0 if either one or both persons named are not selected as the nominee for their party to contest the 2008 Presidential elections. Any person named in a contract must contest the election as the officially selected nominee from their party. Any named person who contests the election in another capacity (including, but not limited to, as an independent) will not be considered for expiry purposes. Expiry will be based on the official, public announcement of the Presidential nominees, as reported and verified in three independent and reliable media sources. Any change to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Exchange Rule1.4. Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances. The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Please contact the exchange by emailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Asian Avian Flu

Intrade — Tue, 20 Mar 2007 09:44:12 GMT

The Exchange has listed 0-100 contracts on a case of Asian Avian Flu strain H5N1 being confirmed in the United States of America. The contracts can be found under Current Events> Bird Flu> Asian Bird Flu to be found in any breed of bird or fowl in the USA BIRDFLU.USA.DEC05 Bird 'flu to be confirmed in the USA ON/BEFORE 31st December 2005 BIRDFLU.USA.MAR06 Bird 'flu to be confirmed in the USA ON/BEFORE 31st March 2006 The contract(s) will be expired at 100 if at least one case of Avian 'flu strain H5N1 is confirmed in the USA by the 23:59:59 ET on the specific date The contract will be expired at 0 if there is no case of Avian 'flu strain H5N1 is confirmed in the USA by the 23:59:59 ET on the specific date. The US Government must officially confirm the case in any of the 50 states. (Puerto Rico is not counted). *** Clarification added to Contract Rule on November 20th 2005 *** For expiry purposes the 'Asian' avian 'flu strain H5N1 will be used. Further Clarification on "Asian" Avian Flu added August 15th, 2006 "Asian" Avian flu is also known as H5N1 High Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) http://www.cfsan.fda.gov/~dms/avfluqa.html *** Clarification added October 27th, 2005*** US Customs and Border Protection (US Homeland Security) does not consider any birds in customs quarantine to be resident within the USA. Therefore any birds (exotic or otherwise) confined in quarantine and not released into the USA will not be considered when expiring the contract. The 'flu strain may be found in any breed of bird or fowl. - Due to the nature of this contract please also see Contract Rule 1.9 Unforeseen Circumstances - Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account -Exchange Rule 1.4 - The Exchange reserves the right to invoke Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection) if deemed appropriate. Please contact the exchange if you have any questions regarding this contract before you place a trade.

Intrade & The New York Times - Odds Are, They'll Know 2008 Winner

Intrade — Wed, 14 Feb 2007 06:41:15 GMT

In today?s edition of The New York Times David Leonhardt talks about Intrade, and prediction markets. There is a great 9 minute discussion with Justin Wolfers. The full story is here http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/14/business/14leonhardt.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

Intrade in the WSJ

Intrade — Tue, 23 Jan 2007 09:03:25 GMT

The Early Line on 2008: Democrats are poised to retain their congressional majorities and regain control of the White House in 2008, early Internet trading suggests. Trading on Intrade.com, an Irish exchange ? put a 54% probability on a Democrat winning the next presidential election and likelihoods of 70% or more that Democrats will hold onto the House and Senate. While it?s still early and the markets will probably fluctuate wildly between now and November 2008, the early money suggests recent history is bound to repeat itself: A party has maintained control of the White House for three successive terms only once since World War II, when the Republicans occupied it between 1980-1991.