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New Prediction Market: Ayman al-Zawahiri

Friday, Jun 17, 2011

Intrade has opend a market for Ayman al-Zawahiri, the new leader of al-Qaeda, to be captured or killed. This market can be found under Foreign Affairs/International Security > Terrorism.

Market Specific Rules:

The market will settle $10.00 if Ayman al-Zawahiri is captured or killed before the specified time and date.

The market will settle $0.00 if Ayman al-Zawahiri is not captured or killed before the specified time and date.

Settlement will be based on official public announcements from the US Government confirming the capture or death of Ayman al-Zawahiri, as reported in three independent and reliable media sources.

This market will be settled using the information publicly available at the time. If it is revealed at a later date that Ayman al-Zawahiri was captured or killed prior to market settlement but this information was not made public at the time, the original settlement will stand.

This market will also settle at $10.00 if it is confirmed that Ayman al-Zawahiri has died of natural causes.

If there is any ambiguity over the status of Ayman al-Zawahiri, Intrade reserves the absolute right to determine how this market will be settled (when and at what price).  Intrade reserves the right to wait for further information before settling this or any other market.

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