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Intrade Adds More Prediction Market Transparency

Tuesday, Mar 22, 2011

Intrade has just launched a new feature that displays the last 100 real money predictions made using the web interface.

The information disclosed includes the market predicted on, the price and whether the person bought (buy) or sold(sell), and the physical location of the person entering the order.

We do not display orders that we receive over our API as including such orders would result in circa 100,000 predominantly financial orders streaming in and obfuscating other important and representative orders. 

The new page is available at the bottom right of our home page or by clicking on this link…

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/recentpredictions/

Below you will find a selection of most recent orders:

API Automated Predictions (thousands per hour) are excluded.

Muammar al-Gaddafi to no longer be leader of Libya before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Sokolov, Czech Republic

Apple iPad unit sales to be 25 million (or more) in fiscal year 2011 predicted to be above $5.01 / share

Volda, Norway

Muammar al-Gaddafi to no longer be leader of Libya before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be below $7.50 / share

Budapest, Hungary

Any country currently using the Euro to announce their intention to drop it midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be below $1.00 / share

Izmir, Turkey

Any country currently using the Euro to announce their intention to drop it midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be below $1.07 / share

Izmir, Turkey

A fourth explosion to occur at a Japanese Nuclear power plant before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 predicted to be below $2.77 / share

Ljubljana, Slovenia

Limitless to gross OVER $6.0M in opening weekend predicted to be above $1.00 / share

Oxford, United States

Sucker Punch to gross OVER $20.0M in opening weekend predicted to be above $9.00 / share

Oxford, United States

Magnitude 8.0 (or higher) earthquake to occur anywhere before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be above $7.54 / share

Oxford, United States

The Google Lunar X Prize to be won on/before 31 Dec 2012 predicted to be above $4.60 / share

Oxford, United States

Next Canadian general election to be held on/before 30 Jun 2011 predicted to be above $4.00 / share

Morell, Canada

Tim Pawlenty to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012 predicted to be above $1.87 / share

Atlanta, United States

DOW to close UP by 25 points or more on prev close predicted to be above $4.15 / share

Morell, Canada

DOW to close HIGHER than prev close predicted to be above $4.50 / share

Morell, Canada

A fourth explosion to occur at a Japanese Nuclear power plant before midnight ET 31 Mar 2011 predicted to be above $2.60 / share

Chris Christie to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012 predicted to be above $0.34 / share

Rudy Guiliani to announce he will run for President before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be above $2.15 / share

New York, United States

Haley Barbour to announce he will run for President before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 predicted to be above $7.50 / share

New York, United States

DOW to close DOWN by 25 points or more on prev close predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Morell, Canada

DOW to close UP by 50 points or more on prev close predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Morell, Canada

DOW to close UP by 25 points or more on prev close predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Morell, Canada

DOW to close HIGHER than prev close predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Morell, Canada

Muammar al-Gaddafi to no longer be leader of Libya before midnight ET 30 Apr 2011 predicted to be above $4.10 / share

Morell, Canada

DOW to close UP by 200 points or more on prev close predicted to be below $9.00 / share

Powder Springs, United States

DOW to close HIGHER than prev close predicted to be above $0.10 / share

Morell, Canada

 

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