Current Events - Iran

US/Israeli Overt Air Strike against Iran (Rule 1.8 Applies)

Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.MAR10 USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 31 Mar 2010 M Trade 4.2 5.0 4.9 1957 -0.6 AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.JUN10 USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 30 Jun 2010 M Trade 7.6 10.5 10.6 1994 0 AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.SEP10 USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 30 Sep 2010 M Trade 12.6 17.9 15.5 954 0 AIRSTRIKE.IRAN.DEC10 USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 31 Dec 2010 M Trade 17.6 23.4 21.0 1716 0

Iran to conduct Nuclear Weapons Test

Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge IRAN.NUKE.TEST.DEC10 Iran to conduct a nuclear weapons test on/before 31 Dec 2010 M Trade 10.0 15.0 35.0 338 0

Will Ayatollah Ali Khamenei depart as Supreme Leader of Iran?

Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge KHAMENEI.DEPART.JUN10 Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to depart as Supreme Leader of Iran before midnight ET 30 Jun 2010 M Trade 9.9 13.0 10.9 34 0 KHAMENEI.DEPART.DEC10 Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to depart as Supreme Leader of Iran before midnight ET 31 Dec 2010 M Trade 15.7 24.0 - 0 0

Feb 09 - 7:37PM GMT