This market will settle $10.00 if the Higgs Boson particle is observed before the specified time and date.

This market will settle $0.00 if the Higgs Boson particle is NOT observed before the specified time and date.

Confirmation of the Higgs Boson particle having been observed must be published in a major scientific journal for this contract to be expired.

Clarification (Jan 5th 2009): for the Higgs Boson particle to be "observed" there must be a "five sigma discovery" of the particle.

Clarification (8th Dec 2011):

For purposes of this market, "published in a major scientific journal" means that a scientific paper must have gone though a peer review process of a major scientific journal and then either be printed in a major scientific journal or made available on the journal's website or other repository of peer reviewed papers.
Any announcement, editorial or other non peered reviewed article published in a major scientific journal mentioning a discovery will not be considered adequate "confirmation" of the discovery unless it is clearly announcing a peer review process has been completed as well as the other requirements (such as the discovery being a five sigma discovery).

Any changes to the result after the contract has expired will not be taken into account - Contract Rule 1.4

Due to the nature of this prediction market contract you are obligated to read Contract Rule 1.7 (Unforeseen Circumstances) and Contract Rule 1.8 (Time Protection). Intrade may invoke these rules in its absolute discretion if deemed appropriate.

Please contact the exchange by e-mailing help@intrade.com if you have any questions regarding this contract or interpretation of these contract specific rules, related exchange news articles or exchange rules before you place an order to trade.

Observation of the Higgs Boson Particle
Higgs Boson Particle to be observed on/before 31 Dec 2012
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Higgs Boson Particle to be observed on/before 31 Dec 2012

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Contract Info
Currency USD
Open Price 26.0
Life lo/hi 8.0 - 90.0
Expiry Price 100.0
Expiry Time 11/09/12
Total Volume 4540
Expiry Volume 1584
Market Lifetime: Oct 29 - Sep 11
BID ASK


There are no prices on expired contracts
Higgs Boson Particle to be observed on/before 31 Dec 2012
Tick Size0.1Contract Start DateOct 29, 2009
Tick ValueUSD 0.01Max Contract Price100.0
USD per PointUSD 0.10Contract Type0-100
Min Contract Price0.0Event ID/Contract ID82699/700242