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intrade Margining Examples
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| Example 1: Worst Case Loss calculation on a short term 0-100 contract with one position. | |||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 per point |
| Position: | Long 200 @ 35 | ||
| Bid Risk = | 200 * (0-35) * $0.10 = -$700 | ||
| Ask Risk = | 200 * (100-35) * $0.10 = $1,300 | ||
| In these circumstances, the worst case loss is incurred at the contract's minimum price. The margin requirement is -$700. | |||
| Example 2: Worst Case Loss calculation on a short term 0-100 contract with one position and one opposite order. | |||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 per point |
| Position: | Long 200 @ 35 | ||
| Order: | Sell 400 @ 40 | ||
| Bid Risk = | 200 * (0-35) * £0.10 = -$700 | ||
| Ask Risk = | [200 * (100-35) * $0.10] + [-400 * (100 - 40) * $0.10] = -$1,100 | ||
| In this example, as the worst case loss is incurred at the contract's maximum price. The margin requirement is $1,100. | |||
| Example 3: Risk-Assessed long-term totals contract with a position and an order | |||
| Contract: | Dodgers Total Wins 2002 Season | ||
| Min Price: | 60 | Max Price: | 162 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 |
| Margin Rates: | up 6 | down 6 | |
| Position: | Long 100 @ 78 | ||
| Order: | Short 250 @ 95 | ||
| Margin Rate Bid Risk = 100 * -60 ticks * $0.10 = -$600 | |||
| Margin Rate Ask Risk = (100-250) * 60 ticks * $0.10 = -$900 | |||
| As in the WCL calculations, the sell order is only used in the calculation where it's inclusion produces higher potential losses i..e. when considering the ask risk. | |||
| WCL Bid Risk = 100 * (600-780) * $0.10 = -$1800 | |||
| WCL Ask Risk = [100 * (1620-780) * $0.10] + [-250 * (1620-950) * $0.10] = -$8350 | |||
| Note that the worst case loss on the ask risk does not use the buy order as only profits would emerge from the execution of the order. | |||
| As the WCL Bid Risk exceeds the Margin Rate Bid Risk, the latter is used. Therefore, the initial margin requirement is the Margin Rate Bid Risk = $900 | |||
| Example 4: Multiple Risk-Assessed long-term 0-100 contracts. | |||
| For Clients Multiple Risk Assessed long-term 0-100 contracts intrade allows a diversification offset to reduce the margin requirement. | |||
| Example: (numbers will vary depending on event group)The 2002 NHL Championship Risk Assessed Margin Schedule is as follows;Initial Margin is limited to the margin calculated on the 5 highest Team risks. (The number of contracts used for calculation purposes will depend upon the number of games in an event, the number of competitors and also what stage we are at in the event.) | |||
| Largest | 100% | ||
| 2nd Largest | 100% | ||
| 3rd Largest | 100% | ||
| 4th Largest | 100% | ||
| NHL.BLUES | -2000 | ||
| NHL.OILERS | -3500 | ||
| NHL.SHARKS | -2895 | ||
| NHL.SENATORS | -1250 | ||
| NHL.MAPLELEAFS | -500 | ||
| NHL.RANGERS | -650 | ||
| NHL.KINGS | -3600 | ||
| NHL.ISLANDERS | -4200 | ||
| NHL.BRUINS | -100 | ||
| NHL.FIELD | -285 | ||
| The margin for this position is calculated at -16,195 as follows; | |||
|
Contract
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IM
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Schedule
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Margin Requirement
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| NHL.ISLANDERS |
-4200
|
100%
|
-4200
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| NHL.KINGS |
-3600
|
100%
|
-3600
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| NHL.OILERS |
-3500
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100%
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-3500
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| NHL.SHARKS |
-2895
|
100%
|
-2895
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| NHL.BLUES |
-2000
|
100%
|
-2000
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Total Margin Requirement
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-16,195
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| Example 5: Multiple Risk-Assessed long-term 0-100 contracts, where member has more than one short position | |||
| Contract: | Stanley Cup Winner 2002 | ||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 |
| Margin Rates: | up 7 | down 7 | |
| Min Margin Price: | 0 ticks | Max Margin Price: | 100 ticks |
| Portfolio Position: |
Potential Profit
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Margin Requirement
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-100 NHL Blackhawks @ 9
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90
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-70
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-600 NHL Blues @ 6
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360
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-420
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-100 NHL Bruins @ 8
|
80
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-70
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|
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-100 NHL Senators @ 8
|
80
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-70
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|
| intrade will select the contract with the highest initial
margin requirement, and offset this by the assumed profits from the other
positions, given that only one of the teams can settle at 100. In this example, the Blues position has the highest initial margin requirement, -$420, (-600 * 7 ticks * $0.10), which is offset by assumed profits of $250 ($90 + $80 + $80) from the other three positions. Therefore, the initial margin requirement for these positions would be $170. ($420 - $250) |
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| Example 6: Trading Example | |||
| 25 Feb: | Buy 100 NCAA.Duke @ 32 | ||
| Min Margin Price: | 0 | Max Margin Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 |
| Margin Rates: | up 7 | down 7 | |
| Max Profit: | $680 (68 points) | ||
| Max Loss: | $320 (32 points) | ||
| Trade Fees: | $4 (100*$0.04) | ||
| Initial Margin: | $70 (100 * 7 * $0.10) | ||
| 26 Feb: | Price of NCAA.Duke rises to 38 | ||
| Variation Margin: | $60 (100 * [38-32] * $0.10) | ||
| 27 Feb: | Sell 50 NCAA.Duke @ 42 | ||
| Trade P&L: | $20 (50 * [42-38] * $0.10) | ||
| Trade Fees: | $2 (50 * $0.04) | ||
| 30 Apr: | NCAA.Duke was marked to market at 72 on 29 Apr | ||
| NCAA.Duke expires @ 100 | |||
| Expiry P&L: | $140 (50 * [100-72] * $0.10) | ||
| Expiry Fees: | $2 (50 * $0.04) | ||
| Example 7: Margin Rates calculation on linked Long-Term 0-100 position | |||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 per point |
| Position: | Long 100 LA Lakers @ 67 | ||
| Long 50 Utah Jazz @ 3 | |||
| Short 20 San Antonio Spurs @ 18 | |||
| Margin Rates: | down 6 | up 4 | |
| Bid Risk | = 100 * -6 ticks * $0.10 = -$60 (LA) | ||
| = 50 * -6 ticks * $0.10 = -$30 (Utah) | |||
| = -20 * 4 ticks * $0.10 = -$8 (San Antonio) | |||
| Total: |
-$98
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| Therefore, our Initial Margin requirement where we have more than one position in a linked long-term PIX group, is the sum of the individual margin requirements. (constrained by WCL),which in this example is -$98 | |||
| It should also be noted that in the situation where a member has multiple positions in a long term event group, intrade recognizes that there is a diversification component to holding these positions, and will thus only require members to post margin on a proportion of the number of contracts in that event group, resulting in more cash available to the member for trading. The number of contracts used for calculation purposes will depend upon the number of games in an event, the number of competitors and also what stage we are at in the event. See Margin Rates section of the site for specific details by event. | |||
| Example 8: Totals Contract | |||
| Contract: | Phillies: Total Wins in MLB Season | ||
| Min Margin Price: | Max Margin Price: | 162 | |
| Margin Rates: | up 6 wins | down 6 wins | |
| Tick Size: | 0.1 win | Tick Value: | $0.10 (ie; $1 per win) |
| Position: | Long 100 @ 95 wins | ||
| Margin Rate Bid Risk = | 100 * -60 ticks * $0.10 = -$600 | ||
| Margin Rate Ask Risk = | 100 * 60 ticks * $0.10 = $600 | ||
| Note that the margin rate down uses a negative amount. | |||
| WCL Bid Risk = | 100 * (0 - 950) * $0.10 = -$3,500 | ||
| WCL Ask Risk = | 100 * (1620 - 950) * $0.10 = $6,700 | ||
| Clearly as a single long position, losses will be incurred should the price fall i.e. the bid risk will determine the initial margin requirement. The initial margin requirement is $600, as the Margin Rate bid risk is less than the WCL bid risk. | |||
| Example 9: Risk-Assessed totals contract with a position only where WCL loss is used instead of the margin rate. | |||
| Totals Contract: | Indians: Total Wins in MLB Season | ||
| Min Margin Price: | Max Margin Price: | ||
| Margin Rates: | up 6 wins | down 6 wins | |
| Tick Size: | 0.1 win | Tick Value: | $0.10 (ie; $1 per win) |
| Position: | Long 100 @ 79 wins | ||
| Margin Rate Bid Risk = | 100 * -60 ticks * $0.10 = -£600 | ||
| Margin Rate Ask Risk = | 100 * 60 ticks * $0.10 = £600 | ||
| WCL Bid Risk = | 100 * (750 - 790) * $0.10 = -£400 | ||
| WCL Ask Risk = | 100 * (1620 - 790) * $0.10 = £8,300 | ||
| Again, as this simple position is long, losses are incurred when prices fall. Therefore, the bid risk will determine the initial margin requirement. However, in this case the minimum price "boundary" is just 4 wins lower than the price, less than the margin rate (6 wins). As a result, the initial margin requirement is the lower resulting loss, the WCL bid risk = $400. | |||
| Example 10: Margin Rates calculation on a Long-Term 0-100 with one position | |||
| L-T PIX contract: | UCLA to Win NCAA | ||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 per point |
| Position: | Long 100 @ 12 | ||
| Bid Risk = | 100 * (0-12) * $0.10 = -$120 | ||
| Ask Risk = | 100 * (100-12) * $0.10 = $880 | ||
| Margin Rates: | up 4 | down 6 | |
| Margin Rate Bid Risk = | 100 * -6 ticks * $0.10 = -$60 | ||
| Margin Rate Ask Risk = | 100 * 4 ticks * $0.10 = $40 | ||
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Our margin requirement is therefore -$60
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| Example 11: Golf - Impact of Withdrawal of Player on the Worst Case Loss Calculation | |||
| Linked US Open PIX Contracts: | Nine golfers listed plus the field. | ||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 per point |
| Portfolio: | |||
|
Position
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| Woods to win | Short 1,000 @ 35 | ||
| Els to win | Short 1,000 @ 15 | ||
| Field to win | Short 500 @ 25 | ||
| The Worst Case Loss Calculation would be:- | |||
| Permutation 1: Woods Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (100 - 35) * $0.10] = -$6,500 | ||
| 0-100 Els to Win | [-1,000 * (0 - 15) * $0.10] = $1,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (0- 25) * $0.10] = $1,250 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 1 = -$3,750 | |||
| Permutation 2: Field Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (0- 35) * $0.10] = $3,500 | ||
| 00-100 Els to Win | [-1,000 * (0- 15) * $0.10] = $1,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (100- 25) * $0.10] = -$3,750 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 2 = $1,250 | |||
| Permutation 3: Any Other Golfer Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (0- 35) * $0.10] = $3,500 | ||
| 0-100 Els to Win | [-1,000 * (0- 15) * $0.10] = $1,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (0- 25) * $0.10] = $1,250 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 3 = $6,250 | |||
| Therefore the Worst Case Loss calculation would produce a margin requirement of $3,750. | |||
| But if Els withdraws due to injury before the start of the tournament when the Els to Win 0-100 contract is trading at, say, 15 then the Contract Rules dictate that he will be settled at 15. As, co-incidentally, this is the price at which the Els contract was sold, there will be no realised profit or loss, but the margin requirement will change. The permutations for calculating the new margin requirement now show the following:- | |||
| Permutation 1: Woods Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (100-35)*$0.10] =-$6,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (0- 25) * $0.10] = $1,250 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 1 = -$5,250 | |||
| Permutation 2: Field Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (0- 35) * $0.10] = $3,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (100- 25) * $0.10] = -$3,750 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 2 = -$250 | |||
| Permutation 3: Any Other Golfer Wins: | |||
| Contract | Positions | ||
| 0-100 Woods to Win | [-1,000 * (0-35)*$0.10] = $6,500 | ||
| 0-100 Field to Win | [-500 * (0- 25) * $0.10] = $1,250 | ||
| Profit/Loss for Permutation 3 = $7,750 | |||
| In this case, the margin requirement rises to $5,250 (an extra $1,500) as the permutations no longer reflect the potential profit on the short Els position. In effect, the original assumption in the model, that only one golfer could settle at 0, has been broken by the Els withdrawal. Although intrade has the right to make an immediate margin call for this additional requirement if there were insufficient additional funds in the account. In practice there will be little time until the contract expires, so typically the exchange would wait until the event concludes. Were Woods to win the tournament, the portfolio loses $6,500 on the Woods 0-100 but gains $1,250 on the Field 0-100. In total, the portfolio loses $5,250. This is as predicted by the margin re-calculation but $1,500 more than originally forecasted. In such instances, the member would be called for the additional losses should there be insufficient in the account to meet those losses. | |||
| Example 12: S-T handicapped 0-100 | |||
| Contract: | NCAA: Duke -20.5 v Michigan State | ||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 |
| Position: | Long 50 @ 33 | ||
| Bid Risk = | 50 * (0 - 33) * $0.10 = -$165 | ||
| Ask Risk= | 50 * (100 - 33) * $0.10 = $335 | ||
| Initial Margin Requirement is therefore $165 | |||
| Scenario Result 1: | Duke 103 Michigan State 82 | ||
| Contract settles at 100 | |||
| Scenario Result 2: | Duke 103 Michigan State 95 | ||
| Contract settles at 0 | |||
| Scenario Result 3: | Duke 103 Michigan State 105 | ||
| Contract settles at 0 | |||
| Example 13: Decreasing Margin Requirements on Trade Execution | |||
| Contract: Stanley Cup: NY Rangers v Chicago Blackhawks: NY Rangers to Win | |||
| Minimum Price: | 0 | Maximum Price: | 100 |
| Tick Size: | 1 | Tick Value: | $0.10 |
| Position: | Long 20 @ 42 | ||
| Orders: | Buy 15 @ 40 | ||
| Sell 10 @ 53 | |||
| Bid Risk = | [20 * (0-42) * $0.10] + [15 * (0-40) * $0.10] = -$144 | ||
| Ask Risk = | [20 * (100-42) * $0.10] + [-10 - (100-53) * $0.10] = $69 | ||
| The above example with a margin requirement of $144 shows that the bid risk, which is responsible for the Worst Case Loss, does not take into account the potential profits on the sell order. | |||
| If the order to sell 10 @ 53 is filled, the margin calculation changes as follows:- | |||
| Bid Risk = | [20 * (0-42) * $0.10] + [15 * (0-40) * $0.10] = -$144 | ||
| Ask Risk = | [20 * (100-42) * $0.10] + [-10 - (100-53) * $0.10] = $69 | ||
| The above example with a margin requirement of $144 shows that the bid risk, which is responsible for the Worst Case Loss, does not take into account the potential profits on the sell order. | |||
| If the order to sell 10 @ 53 is filled, the margin calculation changes as follows:- | |||
| Bid Risk = | [10 * (0-42) * $0.10] + [15 * (0-40) * $0.10] = -$102 | ||
| Ask Risk = | 10 * (100-42) * $0.10 = $58 | ||
| So, the execution of the order has reduced the margin requirement by $42, from $144 to $102. Mathematically, this is because the bid risk figure now includes profits from the 10 sold lots at 53, as it is now a position not an order. Note that there is also a realised profit of $11 (= 10 * (53-42) * $0.10) when the order is executed, as it partially closes out the position. | |||