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Current Events
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Osama Bin Laden
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Osama Bin Laden Conclusion (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Bird Flu
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Asian Bird Flu H5N1 to be confirmed in the U.S (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Iran
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US/Israeli Overt Air Strike against Iran (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Will Ayatollah Ali Khamenei depart as Supreme Leader of Iran?
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Iran to conduct Nuclear Weapons Test
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North Korea
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US Military Action against North Korea (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Will Euna Lee and Laura Ling be released by North Korea?
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Middle East
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Hamas Recognition of Israel (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Cuba
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Will the Freedom to Travel to Cuba Act become law?
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Olympic Games
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Host of 2016 Summer Games (Region)
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Apple
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Will Steve Jobs depart as CEO of Apple?
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US Automakers
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Sponsors of Terror
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Sudan to be removed from State Sponsors of Terrorism List
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Iran to be removed from State Sponsors of Terrorism List
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Syria to be removed from State Sponsors of Terrorism List
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Cuba to be removed from State Sponsors of Terrorism List
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North Korea to be added to State Sponsors of Terrorism List
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Virgin Galactic
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Mad Cow Disease
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Mad Cow Disease in the United States
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Mad Cow Disease in the United Kingdom
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Europe
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Any Current User to Drop Euro as National Currency
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Adoption of Euro by Denmark, Sweden and UK
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Gasoline
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Dec 2009
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Sep 2009
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Oct 2009
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Nov 2009
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Aug 2009
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Gasoline Prices - US National Average. Jul 2009
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Yahoo
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Earthquakes
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Will a magnitude 9.0 earthquake occur in 2009?
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Adult Talkativeness
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National Leaders
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Hamid Karzai (Afghanistan) (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Hugo Chavez (Venezuela) (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Nouri al-Maliki (Iraq) (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Robert Mugabe (Zimbabwe) (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (Iran) (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Taiwan
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Chinese Military Action against Taiwan (Rule 1.8 Applies)
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Guantanamo
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White House
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Will James Jones depart as National Security Advisor?
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Release of Detainee Abuse Photographs
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Will President Obama visit Cuba, Iran, Syria or North Korea?
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Health Care Reform
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Will a federal government run health insurance plan be approved in the US?
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Japan
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Will Japan announce that it has acquired nuclear weapons?
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Swine Flu
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Number of Swine Flu cases in the United States. July 2009
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35,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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40,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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45,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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50,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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55,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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60,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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65,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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70,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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75,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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80,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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85,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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90,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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95,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
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100,000 or more cases of A/H1N1 Swine Flu to be reported in the US before midnight ET on 31 Jul 2009
Climate and Weather
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Hurricane Season
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Cat 3 storm landfall in US during 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1st - Nov 30th)
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First US Landfall during 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1st - Nov 30th)
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Last named storm of 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1st - Nov 30th)
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NY City Snowfall
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Global Temperatures
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2009 Global Average Temperature
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Climate Change
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Russia - reduction of CO2 emissions under UNFCCC
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Japan - reduction of CO2 emissions under UNFCCC
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United States - reduction of CO2 emissions under UNFCCC
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European Union - reduction of CO2 emissions under UNFCCC
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China and India - acceptance of CO2 emissions limits
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Climate Prediction
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Climate Change Prediction: Al Gore versus Prof. Scott Armstrong
Financial
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Dow Jones Index
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How far will the Dow fall before the end of 2010?
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July 2009 Dow Close
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2009 Year End Dow Jones Industrial Average
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How far will the Dow fall before the end of 2009?
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S&P 500 Index
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2009 Year End Standard and Poors 500
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US Eco Numbers
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US Economic Growth by Quarter
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Will US GDP fall by 10.0% or more during 2009? (see contract rules)
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Will the US economy suffer a depression before the end of 2010? (Please Read Contract Rules)
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Will the US economy suffer a depression before the end of 2009? (Please Read Contract Rules)
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US Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims (released 8:30am on 09 Jul 2009)
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US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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Cumulative Decline in US GDP over Four Quarters to be -10.0% or worse (See Rules)
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Q2 2009 Advance US Real GDP Figure (released 8:30am on 31 July 2009)
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US Unemployment Rate. Dec 2009
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Commodities
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Gold Feb 2010 (G10) Futures Year End 2009
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Light Sweet Crude Oil Feb 2010 (G10) Futures Year End 2009
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US Stimulus Plan
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Mortgage Rates
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30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates. Dec 2009 (see contract rules)
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US Govt. Bailout
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Bailout Fallout
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US Government Felony Indictments
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Company IPOs
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Facebook
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Solar Product Company IPOs
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TEST
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Asian Eco Numbers
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Japanese Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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Japanese Economic Growth by Quarter
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European Eco Numbers
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Italian Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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UK Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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German Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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French Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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Irish Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
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Irish Economic Growth by Quarter
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French Economic Growth by Quarter
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UK Economic Growth by Quarter
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Italian Economic Growth by Quarter
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German Economic Growth by Quarter
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European Union Unemployment Rate. Dec 2010
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European Union Unemployment Rate. Dec 2009
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Global Eco Numbers
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Intrade GUSD Index
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Intrade Growth, Unemployment & S&P500 Depression Index: Q2 2009 (See Contract Rules)
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Fed Chairman
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Who will be appointed Chairman of the Federal Reserve in 2010? (others on suggestion)
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Credit Ratings
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Will the United States AAA credit rating be downgraded or put on negative outlook?
Entertainment
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Box Office Returns
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Opening Weekend Box Office Receipts: Harry Potter & the Half Blood Prince. Fri Jul 17 2009
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Opening Weekend Box Office Receipts. Fri Jul 10 2009
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Opening Weekend Box Office Receipts. Fri Jul 03 2009
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American Idol
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Dancing with Stars
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Britains Got Talent
Legal
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Tom DeLay
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Supreme Court
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Confirmation of Sonia Sotomayor
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Who will be the next Supreme Court Justice? (confirmation required for expiry)
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Bernard Madoff
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Gay Marriage
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Internet Gaming
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Amendment of UIGEA by Rep. Barney Frank (see contract rules)
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Gun Control
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Will an Assault Weapons Ban be reinstated in the United States?
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Rod Blagojevich
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Rod Blagojevich guilty of Corruption
Chess
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Jubilaeum 2009
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Winner of Champions Rapid
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Winner of Schachgesellschaft Zurichs Jubelee-Open
Scientific
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Higgs Boson Particle
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Observation of the Higgs Boson Particle
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Cold Fusion
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Dr Yoshiaki Arata’s Cold Fusion Experiment
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Focus Fusion
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Will net power be generated using the Focus Fusion process?
Business
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Automakers
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Ford, GM and Chrysler to file for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
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General Motors Merger
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Cap and Trade
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A cap and trade system for emissions trading to be established in the United States
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Financial Services
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Repayment of funds received under the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP)
Transportation
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GM Volt
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When will the GM Volt go on sale?
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Space Travel
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Virgin Galactic - Commercial Space Travel
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Will Space Shuttle Endeavour launch before the end of May 2009?