Dublin, Ireland - 10/21/2008  

Intrade has just launched new Polling Error Markets to shed light on the possibility that the final polling averages will 

significantly misrepresent the final state of the race.

Could we see a big upset?

You can see these markets under Politics - US Election Polling

Intrade's Polling Error Markets will compare the spread between the final Real Clear Politics polling averages for Sen. Obama 

and Sen. McCain to the final true spread in the popular vote as published by the Federal Election Commission.

These new markets will provide unique information on the likelihood that a candidate will significantly over or underperform 

the final poll averages.

Factors such as turnout, late-breaking or late-shifting voters, polling selection bias, race, alleged voter fraud on both sides, 

or systematic errors in the polling industry could contribute to such a failure.

For more information contact press@intrade.com

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